This year, Germany's 'Alternative' is predicted to win in state elections

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Publiation data: 02.01.2026 16:40
Средний класс и люди среднего возраста - основа оппозиции.

However, there has not yet been a single poll in which it has achieved an absolute majority in parliament.

More than half of German citizens believe that in at least one of the states where elections will be held in 2026, the prime minister will be a candidate from the far-right 'Alternative for Germany'.

In 2026, new parliaments will be elected in five federal states: Baden-Württemberg (March 8), Rhineland-Palatinate (March 22), Saxony-Anhalt (September 6), Berlin, and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (both on September 20).

According to a survey, 53% of Germans expect that after these elections, 'AfD' will have at least one head of a state government. Meanwhile, 27% of respondents do not expect such a result, and 20% did not provide an answer.

Among other things, 81% of its voters believe in the success of 'Alternative for Germany', while supporters of other parties are noticeably more skeptical: 50% among voters of the conservative CDU/CSU bloc, 45% among the Social Democratic Party, and 36% among the Green Party.

In Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, 'AfD' is polling around 40%. However, there has not yet been a single poll in which it has achieved an absolute majority in parliament.

Under the current circumstances, to appoint its own state prime minister, 'AfD' must obtain a majority of votes on its own, as no other parties want to form a coalition with it.

As of early December, the far-right party 'Alternative for Germany' has seen its rating rise again, returning to one of the highest levels in its history – 27%.

The leader of the far-right 'Alternative for Germany', Alice Weidel, has entered the top five most popular politicians in the country and has become the most popular female politician.

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