According to several sources, U.S. intelligence indicates that Iran's leadership maintains control over the country and is not at risk of collapse in the near future, despite nearly two weeks of continuous bombings by the U.S. and Israel.
"Numerous intelligence reports contain a consistent analysis indicating that the regime is not facing collapse and maintains control over the population," said one source who wished to remain anonymous. The latest report was completed in recent days.
Amid growing political pressure due to soaring oil prices, U.S. President Donald Trump stated that he would "soon" conclude the largest military operation by the U.S. since 2003. However, analysts note that finding an acceptable resolution to the conflict will be difficult if hardline Iranian leaders retain power.
Intelligence data underscores the cohesion of Iran's clerical leadership, despite the assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on February 28, the first day of U.S. and Israeli strikes. Israeli officials in closed-door negotiations also acknowledged the lack of confidence that military actions would lead to the regime's collapse.
