Are rumors of the government's imminent demise greatly exaggerated?
"Talks about the imminent fall of the government are a fabrication of the opposition," said Evika Silina yesterday, inspired by the adoption of the 2026 budget. One way or another, it must be acknowledged that the ruling party managed to pass the budget through the Saeima, and it was adopted in the exact form agreed upon by the government.
Does this mean that the threat of government collapse has passed? Let us dare to assume that for the next month or so, there will be a lull in power. On Monday, December 8, coalition partners will discuss their joint life "after the budget." According to rumors, the Prime Minister will urge partners to tone down public attacks on each other and focus on addressing pressing issues - such as rising inflation, attracting funds for the implementation of Rail Baltica, and strengthening internal and external security.
It is clear that the "rebels" in the form of the "green farmers" are still far from toppling this government - despite all their desire to "get back" at the "progressives" for their, for example, statements to the prosecutor's office against the Minister of Agriculture. After all, there is no point in destroying the government if the politicians have not agreed on a new model of government and if there is no certainty that it will be led by the "green farmers."
It is evident that the upcoming Christmas and New Year holidays will also contribute to the truce in the coalition - this year, the parliamentarians have only two plenary sessions left to conduct.
A new rebellion on the government ship may flare up in late January or early February if fresh ratings show a further decline in the popularity of the "green farmers" and if the "progressives" continue to "troll" the "green farmers." It is worth remembering that there will be about 9 months left until the elections, and competition on the right-center flank is expected to be ruthless. Moreover, a new player has emerged - the "No Party" of Alvis Hermanis, which claims a lion's share of the protest electorate.
