The possible plan for the disintegration of Russia was outlined by researcher and scientist Sergey Lopatnikov.
Sergey Lopatnikov was born in Estonia and is the head of the American laboratory for mathematical modeling methods at the University of Delaware (USA). He was previously a leading researcher at Moscow State University (MSU). Since the early 2000s, he has been living in the USA. Here is what he writes on his Telegram, quote:
"You do not understand that even the best result — the liberation of four regions — is a strategic defeat for Russia. Russia gains only a land route to Crimea after N years of war with an unclear number of casualties — and a headache in the form of a depressed region with a depleted coal industry.
The price of this is the creation of a critically hostile 'fortress wall' from the Arctic Ocean to Odessa, that is, Russia essentially completely loses the Baltic and Black Seas in such a situation. Moreover, keeping Odessa under Ukraine completely devalues the military significance of Crimea and Sevastopol. Control at sea has been lost. The same goes for Kaliningrad. It is unviable, as long as there is no land corridor and free passage through the Gulf of Finland.
The next obvious step today will be the warning of the Southern Route for Russia through the Caspian and Iran. The Caspian is already not controlled by Russia. And the practically guaranteed rise to power in Iran of a secular and therefore pro-Western government completely closes the southern route.
Then, Russia will be locked in the Far East — by Japan.
Kamchatka is an "island" worse than Sakhalin and is meaningless due to its transport isolation and the impossibility of practically overcoming it. And there are no other free exits to the Pacific Ocean. The exits from the Arctic Ocean, which the youth are hoping for, are blocked — to the Pacific Ocean — by the La Perouse Strait and Alaska. To the Atlantic — almost blocked by Norway, Iceland, and Britain. And if the USA takes Greenland (not to mention Canada, which is even more so). Greenland is an unsinkable aircraft carrier, more formidable than Japan.
And finally, what I wrote about — The last step is Kazakhstan and internal Russian Islam, which will show its teeth. And this is the rupture of Russia in the middle. Further, everything will collapse automatically: the Volga region, the Ural, Western Siberia - the Far East.
This is all so obvious that I don’t know what to argue about!
Now, why does Europe talk about the inevitable attack from Russia? - It’s not just simple, it’s very simple: Russia is put in a zugzwang position — either it agrees to a division similar to that of the Ottoman Empire, or it must BREAK through the encirclement. The West's task now is to force Russia to start breaking through the encirclement — if it breaks through — at a predictable point and at a convenient time for the West.
Hence, the real and inevitable political layout in Russia regarding "real parties" is obvious: it is the "Katz Party," which proposes to surrender and turn Russia into Moscovia, and the Party of War, which is ready to go for a breakthrough. I will not name the leaders by name — you can observe and think for yourselves.
The only mystery for me is why Europe, clearly understanding the layouts, excludes nuclear war? - This is what is absolutely illogical in this scheme. Unless the presence of nuclear weapons in Russia is an inertial bluff, well known to Europe.
So... the Poles in Moscow are not excluded. This is more likely than Ukrainians. But no less likely than Moscow-2042 (written by Voinovich in the USA and published in New York in 1986 (!) as a scenario of the systematic disintegration of Russia under the leadership of a character from the KGB who served in Berlin in intelligence and ideological work; the story was written in the form of a utopia back in 1985 - editor's note).
P.S. Yes, I forgot to mention another option why Europe is not afraid of nuclear weapons - and the most likely one, by the way. Just thinking about it is somehow... In short - a deal. Just as the USSR was systematically and deliberately dismantled, in which I have no doubt, knowing the attitude of many — attention! — consistent! Marxists (!) — to the problem of colonies, the "prison of nations," etc., it is quite likely — as I wrote — that Russia is being consciously and purposefully led to destruction on the principle of 'it will be better for everyone'.
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