Ukraine, Europe, and the U.S. have developed a multi-layered plan in case of Russia's violation of a future ceasefire agreement. Among other things, it stipulates a military response to such an action.
Kyiv and its partners in Europe and the United States have agreed on a multi-layered plan aimed at ensuring Russia's compliance with a future ceasefire agreement in the war with Ukraine, the Financial Times reported on Tuesday, February 3, citing its own sources, as noted by DW.
Repeated violations by Moscow of any future ceasefire agreement will lead to a coordinated military response from Europe and the United States, the British publication stated. The agreements on this were developed during discussions involving Ukrainian, European, and American officials in Paris in December 2025 and in Kyiv in January 2026, sources told the publication. This topic was also raised during a meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump at his Mar-a-Lago residence in December 2025 by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, FT reported.
Diplomatic and military response to ceasefire violations
According to this plan, in the event of a violation of the ceasefire regime by Russia, a diplomatic warning will follow within 24 hours "and any actions required from the Ukrainian army to stop this violation."
If hostilities continue after this, the second phase of the plan will be implemented, involving intervention by Kyiv's supporters from the so-called "coalition of the willing," which includes several EU members, as well as the United Kingdom, Norway, Iceland, and Turkey.
If the ceasefire violation escalates into a large-scale attack, a coordinated military response involving Western forces, including the U.S. Army, will follow within 72 hours after the first violation, Financial Times reported.
The issue of security guarantees for Ukraine from the U.S.
Meanwhile, many details of the agreement remain unclear, journalists noted. Primarily, it concerns the fact that security guarantees are tied to a long-term ceasefire, the framework of which has not yet been fully defined.
Earlier, Donald Trump offered Volodymyr Zelensky security guarantees for Ukraine that would be similar to those enshrined in Article 5 of the NATO Treaty, implying a collective response from allies to potential new aggression from Russia. According to the Ukrainian leader, Trump proposed these guarantees for 15 years, but Ukraine would prefer a longer term of 50 years.
Last week, Zelensky stated that the agreement on security guarantees with the U.S. implies increasing the size of the Ukrainian army to 800,000 personnel, as well as providing it with Western weapons and training for the Armed Forces of Ukraine. As Financial Times writes, Volodymyr Zelensky would like to sign such an agreement with Washington before February 24, 2026, which will mark exactly four years since the start of the full-scale Russian invasion. "The President of Ukraine believes that this could give Kyiv leverage in negotiations with Moscow and ensure long-term support from Trump," the article notes.
The possibility of territorial concessions
Earlier, FT reported that the Trump administration made it clear to Ukraine that security guarantees from the U.S. depend on Kyiv's agreement to a peace deal, which likely includes Ukraine's renunciation of Donbas in favor of the Russian Federation.
At the end of January, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that the U.S. and Europe had reached a consensus on security guarantees for Ukraine. The only unresolved issue remains the territories in the east of the country, Rubio indicated at that time.
It was clarified that the agreement implies the deployment of a limited contingent of troops, primarily British and French.
