A sensational investigation by the BBC revealed a striking pattern: financial markets exhibited unusual activity mere minutes or hours before Donald Trump's important public statements on Iran and other key issues.
A deep analysis conducted by the BBC revealed a striking and persistent pattern. Before Donald Trump's most significant statements regarding the war with Iran and other global issues, there were anomalous spikes in trading activity in the financial markets occurring literally minutes or hours before their public announcement. This raises serious questions about possible information leaks.
For example, on March 9, the volumes of bets on falling oil prices suddenly surged. This happened 47 minutes before a CBS journalist released an interview with the president, in which he stated that the war was "essentially over." Immediately after the publication, the price per barrel plummeted by a full 25%, bringing millions in profits to those traders who had opened short positions in time.
A similar situation unfolded on March 23, again surprising with its accuracy. Just 16 minutes before Trump published a post about a "complete and final settlement" with Iran, the volumes of oil trading sharply increased. Following this announcement, oil prices dropped another 11%, confirming the strange synchronicity of events.
In April 2025, a similar scheme preceded the announcement of a 90-day tariff pause. The S&P 500 index unexpectedly rose by 9.5%, and some astute traders risked over 2 million dollars on a market rise. This occurred at a time when the market had been falling for seven consecutive days, and their potential profit reached an astonishing 20 million dollars.
Astonishing Bets on Prediction Platforms
The BBC also draws attention to extremely suspicious bets made on prediction platforms. In December 2025, an anonymous account under the nickname Burdensome-Mix invested $32,500, predicting that Nicolás Maduro would lose power by the end of January. When American special forces captured the Venezuelan president on January 3, this account won an incredible $436,000, after which it quickly changed its name and disappeared from sight.
In February of the same year, six brand new accounts placed bets on a U.S. strike against Iran by February 28. These accounts subsequently shared a colossal win of $1.2 million. Such astonishing accuracy of predictions raises numerous questions.
Questions of Insider Trading
The publication emphasizes that many analysts see clear signs of illegal insider trading in these suspicious transactions. They are convinced that someone had access to confidential information.
Professor of financial law Paul Uden noted in an interview with the BBC that financial regulators rarely pursue cases like these. The reason lies in the inability to establish the source of the leak, which significantly reduces the chances of initiating a real criminal case, even with an obvious connection between the trades and the closed information.
However, some other experts offer a simpler explanation. They suggest that some traders may have simply learned to predict the president's behavior and future statements with incredible accuracy.
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