“Russia could easily occupy a significant part of the Baltics right now...” 0 8

Political technologist Jurgis Liepnieks regularly publishes scare stories on social media these days, in the series of "a premonition of war." Today he "delighted" social networks with his fresh revelation:

"In my opinion, when talking about the defense of Latvia and the Baltics, we speak too little about the broader context. It is clear that Russia could easily occupy a significant part of the Baltics right now, but even in the worst-case scenario where the USA, Turkey, and a number of other NATO countries would not rush to help, if the Scandinavian countries and Poland were reliably not standing aside, then the price for such an invasion could be raised to unacceptable levels for Russia.

The destruction of all military infrastructure in Kaliningrad is easily achievable. Closing the Danish straits to Russian oil and other exports is easily achievable and would have devastating consequences for Russia. Eradicating the Russian Baltic Fleet is easily realizable, with St. Petersburg's infrastructure within reach, not to mention Pskov. Finnish, Polish, Swedish, Norwegian, and Danish aviation could inflict significant damage on the enemy's air defense, aviation, logistics, and combat capabilities. A counterattack on the territory of Kaliningrad is quite possible, and I am not considering the broader scene, such as cutting off Murmansk logistics, etc. In other words, even without the involvement of the USA and Turkey (but it is not stated anywhere that they will not be involved), the Baltic countries, with the help of Poland and Scandinavia, could retaliate very painfully, making an invasion of the Baltic countries yet another strategic defeat for Russia, even if they occupied some area or city, for example, in Latgale..."