Professor and senior researcher at the University of Delaware Sergey Lopatnikov - himself a former Soviet scientist who lived in Moscow - asked the question: why did Europe suddenly decide that Russia would not use nuclear weapons?
Sergey Lopatnikov is the head of the laboratory for mathematical modeling methods and a former leading researcher at Moscow State University (MSU). He has been living in the USA since the early 2000s.
Here is what American and Soviet scientist Sergey Lopatnikov writes on his Telegram page "Antidote SL" regarding the degradation of the nuclear program in Russia, quote:
"Why did Europe suddenly decide that Russia would not use nuclear weapons? I think this is the result of the work of Gorbachev and the IAEA, for which Russia somehow opened its nuclear energy sector - this is the first factor.
The second factor - in 2010 (it is worth noting that this was during Vladimir Putin's rule - ed.) Russia stopped the last reactor producing weapon-grade plutonium, the ADE-2 in Zheleznogorsk, as part of bilateral agreements with the USA.
The third factor - the Chernomyrdin-Lugar agreement, under which Russia transferred its stockpiles of weapon-grade plutonium to the USA.
And this is in addition to the zero factor - Russia destroyed almost all of its tactical nuclear weapons back during Gorbachev's time, which accounted for 3/4 of all warheads.
All this means that Russia's ability to "refresh" its nuclear warheads is limited and, in fact, Russia is on a smooth path to complete nuclear disarmament for objective, technological reasons.
So, who knows what information they have, unlike the general public? - It is possible that they know what even Karaganov does not know. For example, that Russia's nuclear weapons have gone bad...
Perhaps significant events here would be:
a) limiting interaction with the IAEA and b) launching bridders, which would mean stopping the degradation of Russia's nuclear weapons.
I don't think this is realistic. Especially if the plan (Putin's) is "Moscow-2042" (a scenario of Russia breaking up into separate states - ed.)."