The expert is convinced that Putin will not be satisfied even with Kherson and Zaporizhzhia.
The war in Ukraine will continue in 2026 — this is the belief of several military experts, considering the current situation. Given how many massive strikes the aggressor country inflicted on Ukrainian cities last year, there is a likelihood that the number of airstrikes in 2026 may at least approach that level — Russia is accumulating missiles and drones, working to increase their production.
Is there a military formula that can calculate the probable number of massive attacks by the Russian army in 2026 — this was discussed in a comment for TSN.ua by former spokesperson of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, military expert Vladyslav Selezniov.
"There is a formula that war is not linear. There are certain spikes, and there are stagnations. It is obvious that the enemy has a resource base to create missiles and drones to carry out large-scale attacks. Plus, there are supplies from North Korea and the Islamic Republic of Iran. I do not believe that any agreements will be reached within the framework of the negotiation track with the help of the USA — I do not believe in that. The head of the Kremlin, Vladimir Putin, for some reason, is convinced that he can achieve certain results by force of arms," says Selezniov. He calls for the shedding of illusions.
"To rid of illusions: it is unlikely that Putin will be satisfied with control over the entire territory of Luhansk and Donetsk regions. He will not be satisfied even with Kherson and Zaporizhzhia," the expert is convinced.
Selezniov adds that the Russian army currently has at least 10 stationary and one mobile center that it can use to carry out drone attacks. He does not rule out that Russia may want to carry out massive attacks (using missiles) twice or three times a month.
"What prevents the enemy from building several more sites over the course of a year to launch drones simultaneously? This is absolutely within Russia's capabilities. The resources are there. The enemy needs literally a few days to accumulate the number for a large-scale attack," analyzes the situation Selezniov.
And, summarizing, he notes: "The Russian Federation is trying to scale up the production of drones and missiles, increase the scale of purchases. But we are not 'sitting back'. General Vasyl Maliuk's Operation 'Web' has shown that we can deliver very painful strikes. Part of the Russian strategic aviation has been destroyed by Ukraine. Who knows what preparations are ongoing and where we will strike next? Note that recently Russia launched its strategic bombers from the Amur region, from where we cannot reach yet. We cannot reach it today. But who can guarantee that we won’t reach there tomorrow?".
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