Traders are seeking to hedge against potential declines.
Bitcoin has dropped to a two-week low amid the largest options expiration of the year — totaling around $14 billion. The mass closing of positions occurred against a backdrop of increasing uncertainty related to the conflict in the Middle East: market participants are betting on its prolonged nature and a possible rise in inflation.
Meanwhile, investors are shifting to a defensive strategy. There is a significant demand for put options with a strike price of around $60,000 — demand for them has increased by about one and a half times. This is a signal that traders are seeking to hedge against potential declines.
Now that the pressure from the expiration is easing, the market may reveal its further direction. So far, it appears to be more restrained than optimistic.
Washington is increasingly moving away from the logic of "pressing and punishing" and transitioning to a model where innovations are allowed in a regulated environment — provided there is risk control. The logic is simple: regulators must evolve as quickly as technology does, otherwise innovations, jobs, and capital will leave the U.S. At the same time, payment stablecoins and tokenized deposits are seen as a way to make transactions faster and cheaper.
Participants in the crypto market, particularly banks, need a clear and safe operating framework for working with digital assets. Moreover, lagging in innovation itself becomes a risk factor for the banking system.
Mining companies are increasingly moving into the field of AI and high-performance computing (HPC): contracts worth over $70 billion have already been announced in the industry. Players like WULF, CORZ, CIFR, and HUT are gradually transforming from "pure" Bitcoin miners into data center operators.
The market is effectively divided into two groups: some survive on ultra-cheap electricity and equipment upgrades, while others try to offset risks through AI projects. As a result, the focus is no longer solely on Bitcoin growth — it is a race to see who can restructure their business faster.
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